WEDNESDAY, June 4 (HealthDay News) -- Using cell phone records
to track movement, a new study suggests that people are creatures
of habit, spending most of their time going to -- and remaining at
-- a few key locations, such as work and home.
The researchers said their novel approach to analyzing human
mobility appears to be more accurate, easier, and cheaper than
prior efforts based on tracking, for example, the movement of
money. And, they added, the cell phone model could prove helpful to
epidemiologists seeking to improve planning for emergency responses
to natural disasters and disease outbreaks.
"Mobility patterns are very important to quantify, because they
affect everything from epidemic forecasting to urban road
planning," said study lead author Marta C. Gonzalez, a professor at
Northeastern University's Center for Complex Network Research. "But
despite a big interest, there's been a lack of data, because it's
very hard to track movement."
Gonzalez and her colleagues published their findings in the June
5 issue of the journal
Nature.
They said their observation of repetitive and controlled
mobility departs somewhat from a traditional paradigm regarding
more random animal movement, known as the "Levy flight" pattern.
This model was based on typical food searching behavior, which
mostly consisted of non-repetitive, short-distance foraging,
interspersed with the occasional longer trip.
For the study, the researchers analyzed cell phone transmitter
tower logs, which track mobility within a defined tower zone. The
average tower zone was about two square miles, although more than
30 percent of the zones covered an area of less than one square
mile.
Information was collected on the movements of approximately
100,000 randomly selected people over a six-month period.
Gonzalez and her team found that most mobile phone users
traveled only short distances, although a few consistently moved
across distances of hundreds of miles. Also, regardless of whether
a person routinely traveled to just five locations or 50, most
devoted about 70 percent of their time to just two repeatedly
visited destinations.
"Because we only have information as to tower zones, we can't
say for certain exactly which location people are going to,"
Gonzalez said. "But we assume, of course, that the two preferred
locations are a person's place of work and their home."
Karen L. Kramer, an associate professor at Harvard University's
department of biological anthropology, said that, despite the
study's findings that people today are creatures of habit,
flexibility in movement has always been central to human mobility
and, in turn, human survival.
"As humans, we have always monitored our changing resources and
moved about accordingly," she said. "Humans are really good at
this, and the ability to do this well -- to adapt our movements to
a changing environment -- is really critical to the human success
story, because mobility serves as a means to gather vital
information about the world. It's our security net."
She acknowledged, however, that as modern "hunter-gatherers"
have abandoned the daily tracking of watering holes and food
sources, gathering points may have become more localized and
reliable.
"If we're living in a city, we go to a job so we can get money
to buy food, and then, we go to the store to buy the food, and
then, we bring the food home to eat," she said. "So, we're still,
essentially, hunters and gatherers. But, of course, if the
resources are concentrated, then mobility will be as well."
More information
To learn more about human mobility, visit
The John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur
Foundation.